Sunday, March 30, 2008

Asas Elliot Wave

Untuk permulaan saya petik nota ini dalam babypips.com untuk tatapan tetamu semua,semoga ia memberi sesuatu bermakna.

Here is a short description of what happens during each wave. I am going to use stocks for my example since stocks is what Mr. Elliott used but it really doesn’t matter what it is. It can easily be currencies, bonds, gold, oil, or Tickle Me Elmo dolls. The important thing is the Elliott Wave Theory can also be applied to the foreign exchange market.

Wave 1 The stock makes its initial move upwards. This is usually caused by a relatively small number of people that all of the sudden (for a variety of reasons real or imagined) feel that the price of the stock is cheap so it’s a perfect time to buy. This causes the price to rise.

Wave 2 At this point enough people who were in the original wave consider the stock overvalued and take profits. This causes the stock to go down. However, the stock will not make it to its previous lows before the stock is considered a bargain again.

Wave 3 This is usually the longest and strongest wave. The stock has caught the attention of the mass public. More people find out about the stock and want to buy it. This causes the stock’s price to go higher and higher. This wave usually exceeds the high created at the end of wave 1.

Wave 4 People take profits because the stock is considered expensive again. This wave tends to be weak because there are usually more people that are still bullish on the stock and are waiting to “buy on the dips”.

Wave 5 This is the point that most people get on the stock, and is most driven by hysteria. You usually start seeing the CEO of the company on the front page of major magazines as the Person of the Year. People start coming up with ridiculous reasons to buy the stock and try to choke you when you disagree with them. This is when the stock becomes the most overpriced. Contrarians start shorting the stock which starts the ABC pattern.

Dan untuk panduan EW terdiri daripada :

1-Motive Waves ( wave 1,wave 2,wave 3,wave 4 & wave 5 )

2-Corrective Waves ( wave A, wave B & wave C ) Karakter Wave : 1- Wave 4 tidak akan sama sekali masuk ke zon atau kawasan wave 1 2- Wave 3 adalah wave yang terpanjang. 3- Wave 1 terdiri daripada 5 subwave (1,2,3,4,5) 4- Wave 2 terdiri daripada 3 subwave (a,b,c) 5- Wave 3 terdiri daripada 5 subwave (1,2,3,4,5) 6- Wave 4 terdiri daripada 3 subwave (a,,b,c) 7- Wave 5 terdiri daripada 5 subwave (1,2,3,4,5) Contoh :
Jangan risau, saya akan beri nanti ebook percuma sebagai panduan.Dan sememangnya tiada yang senang atau mudah untuk kita belajar walau apa jua pengetahuan sekali pun. Dan berdasarkan pengalaman juga, kita tidak bergantung kepada kiraan Elliot Wave semata-mata, ia juga perlu disokong oleh bantuan indikator lain yang boleh mengesahkan kiraan kita.

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